Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 126.902863 146.024529 168.090120 195.679237 229.595685 270.385515 3.238584e+02
2025-05-18 98.995224 122.260229 151.847676 193.105153 250.607102 330.269233 4.535085e+02
2025-05-25 84.892038 109.941439 143.996085 195.350135 274.034450 396.099028 6.138324e+02
2025-06-01 74.495598 99.924513 136.272251 194.519650 290.853890 455.305176 7.887727e+02
2025-06-08 66.208431 91.284489 128.581924 191.383259 302.135710 507.698181 9.770270e+02
2025-06-15 61.935460 87.756378 127.726357 198.539578 332.202696 604.218085 1.317465e+03
2025-06-22 55.198994 79.560894 118.237176 189.043782 328.838189 631.839640 1.509892e+03
2025-06-29 51.079916 74.975481 113.952514 187.904770 341.391059 698.976837 1.867762e+03
2025-07-06 47.691835 71.176030 110.449267 187.496545 355.233062 774.878885 2.329987e+03
2025-07-13 46.541689 70.916071 112.977783 199.106000 398.749206 949.119086 3.398704e+03
2025-07-20 45.795051 71.228475 116.518096 213.399074 453.252038 1188.800478 5.268192e+03
2025-07-27 43.412694 68.437402 113.931500 214.143171 473.721226 1332.758785 6.988944e+03
2025-08-03 41.143914 65.881481 111.955251 217.032271 504.555126 1551.821147 1.028567e+04
2025-08-10 38.396509 62.240526 107.507774 213.662004 517.483463 1718.307560 1.423046e+04
2025-08-17 36.530665 60.046591 105.678408 216.200246 549.816730 2008.090762 2.268059e+04
2025-08-24 34.547412 57.440945 102.676727 215.248553 570.918878 2271.990449 3.529392e+04
2025-08-31 32.546500 54.627334 98.916611 211.663415 582.033236 2500.363098 5.368664e+04
2025-09-07 31.662097 53.904240 99.543050 219.847052 639.956268 3120.420632 1.279855e+05
2025-09-14 29.442721 50.363591 93.618868 208.990979 620.441638 3166.298123 1.715756e+05
2025-09-21 28.096937 48.478612 91.210059 207.690387 639.761163 3565.756270 3.656171e+05
2025-09-28 26.919277 46.845835 89.205955 207.224335 662.966019 4060.540366 1.023871e+06
2025-10-05 26.691496 47.136110 91.649039 220.495349 755.242793 5541.983767 4.612440e+07
2025-10-12 26.602477 47.703747 94.816177 236.881267 875.461678 8004.193799 NaN